Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from the NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's off year

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Ravens running back Derrick Henry has racked up more than 7,200 rushing yards and 68 touchdowns since 2019, and he is among the top 2024 Fantasy football picks at his position. He is coming off another heavy workload, though, which will make some owners concerned that he could be among the 2024 Fantasy football busts. There are plenty of other options at running back, including Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey. Which players should you include in your 2024 Fantasy football lineups?

Taylor has been hampered by injuries over the past two seasons after totaling more than 2,100 scrimmage yards in 2021. Should you target Taylor during your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep or should you look elsewhere for value at the RB position? As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Vikings running back Aaron Jones. The Packers released Jones in the offseason after they reached an agreement with Josh Jacobs on a contract. Jones has spent the entirety of his career in Green Bay, where he racked up 1,177 carries for 5,940 yards and 45 rushing touchdowns.

However, Jones is coming off a year in which he dealt with injuries throughout the season. Jones missed six games and parts of others in 2023, mostly due to hamstring injuries. He averaged just 4.6 yards per carry last season, which is tied for the worst mark in his career. He also managed to score just two rushing touchdowns in 2023. Jones will be learning a new offensive scheme in Minnesota and SportsLine's model is projecting he'll finish outside the top-20 running backs this season, making him one of the top 2024 Fantasy football busts to avoid on draft day. 

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen. The 32-year-old has put together a career resume that will be worthy of Hall of Fame consideration when he ultimately hangs up his cleats, but SportsLine's model is calling for a dip in production in 2024. Allen was traded to the Bears this offseason after spending the first 11 seasons of his career with the Chargers after entering the league as a second round pick out of Cal.

Allen was acquired with the intention of surrounding rookie quarterback Caleb Williams with as many targets as possible. Allen will be competing for targets with Rome Odunze, D.J. Moore, Cole Kmet, and D'Andre Swift. Based on that fact alone, it's hard to envision a scenario where Allen is once again one of the 10 most targeted pass catchers in the league. Right now, Allen has an ADP of 105 and is going ahead of guys like DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, Christian Kirk, Drake London, and Chris GodwinSee which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.

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